Market desk
Stock Overview
The stocks I keep an eye on, refreshed every trading day: what moved, what the news says, what the filings say they're worth, and where a simple model thinks the price goes next.
Last refreshed Nov 13, 22:23 UTC · 8 stocks
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Watchlist
Pick a stock to look at it in detail below
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Overview
Price history with the next sessions' forecast drawn on
Last close
$354.88
−0.21% on the day · +30.0% over a year
52-week range
96%
P/E (trailing)
39.5×
Market cap $5.16T
Volatility
26%
Annualised · a typical day moves ±1.7%
Price
+18.2% since May 15, 2026
03 /
Fair value
What the company's cash flow, earnings and book value say a share is worth
Blended fair value
$140.33
−60.5% vs the last close of $354.88
Discounted cash flow
60% weight$152.99
−56.9% vs price
Free cash flow $119.9B, growing 5.5% a year, fading to 2.5%, discounted at 9%
Graham growth formula
30% weight$148.62
−58.1% vs price
EPS $8.98 × (8.5 + 2 × 5.5% growth), scaled to a 5.2% bond yield
Graham number
10% weight$39.48
−88.9% vs price
√(22.5 × EPS $8.98 × book value $7.71 per share), a conservative floor
- EPS (trailing)
- $8.98
- Book value / share
- $7.71
- Revenue growth
- +5.5% / yr
- FCF yield
- +2.6%
From SEC filings up to 2026-09-26 · market cap $5.16T. Growth used in the models is capped at +5.5%.
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Forecast
Next-session prediction, updated daily, with a running score of how it has done
Next session
$355.17
+0.08% · 52% chance it closes higher
In a month
$325.67 – $395.77
80% range by Fri, Dec 11, centred on $359.02
Track record
38%
Direction right in 8 scored forecasts · 63% landed in range
| Session | Forecast | Change | 80% range | P(higher) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri, Nov 13 | $355.17 | +0.08% | $347.69 – $362.80 | 52% |
| Mon, Nov 16 | $355.40 | +0.15% | $344.87 – $366.25 | 52% |
| Tue, Nov 17 | $355.61 | +0.21% | $342.75 – $368.96 | 53% |
| Wed, Nov 18 | $355.81 | +0.26% | $341.00 – $371.27 | 53% |
| Thu, Nov 19 | $356.01 | +0.32% | $339.47 – $373.35 | 53% |
| Made after | Forecast | Actual | Direction | In range |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thu, Nov 12 | $355.17 | pending | ||
| Wed, Nov 11 | $356.23 | $354.88 | ✗ | ✓ |
| Tue, Nov 10 | $348.67 | $355.63 | ✓ | ✓ |
| Mon, Nov 9 | $351.05 | $348.51 | ✗ | ✓ |
| Fri, Nov 6 | $342.87 | $350.69 | ✓ | ✗ |
| Thu, Nov 5 | $344.65 | $342.37 | ✗ | ✓ |
| Wed, Nov 4 | $350.29 | $344.17 | ✗ | ✓ |
| Tue, Nov 3 | $332.12 | $349.51 | ✓ | ✗ |
| Mon, Nov 2 | $338.37 | $331.90 | ✗ | ✗ |
Last close $354.88 on Thu, Nov 12. Forecasts are a statistical model's output, refreshed every weekday after the US close. They are not financial advice.
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News
The week's headlines, gathered from several sources and scored for mood
Headline mood
Neutral
12 headlines from Google News search, Finviz, Finnhub. Newer ones count more.
- Stock Market Today: Indexes Trim Losses, Manage To Score Weekly Gains Despite Strong VolatilityThe Dow Jones index fell Friday despite cooler-than-expected inflation data. AI giant Nvidia continued to fall.PositiveYahooNov 13, 21:49 UTCvia Finnhub
- A $1,999 Sellout. What China Renaissance Sees in Apple (AAPL)We just published a list of the Buy Alert: 10 Stocks Analysts Upgraded on Wednesday and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) ranked 10th on this list. October consumer prices rose 0.4%, the third straight monthly gain of at least 0.4%, according to data reported by Reuters. Economists polled by the outlet had expected 0.3%. Core inflation, which excludes […]NeutralYahooNov 13, 21:13 UTCvia Finnhub
- Inside Jim Cramer’s Charitable Trust: 5 Stocks He Actually OwnsJim Cramer started his Charitable Trust in 2005 with $3 million of his own money. According to CNBC, Cramer’s own investment is at risk, and the trust distributes its investment income and realized capital gains to charity. The CNBC Investing Club gives subscribers a way to follow that portfolio. Members can see how much of […]NeutralYahooNov 13, 20:33 UTCvia Finnhub
- 3 Favorite Warren Buffett Stocks Hit Record Highs As Nvidia SinksNeutralInvestor's Business DailyNov 13, 20:27 UTCvia Google News search
- 10 executives who left their companies and later returned as CEONeutralQuartzNov 13, 20:22 UTCvia Finviz
- Apple stock stands out as Big Tech tumbles. Here's what's workingNegativeDetroit Free PressNov 13, 20:11 UTCvia Google News search
- The Price Tag on Jensen Huang's Resignation: $639 Billion and CountingNeutralBarrons.comNov 13, 20:02 UTCvia Finviz
- Meta tests prediction-market app for employees, WSJ reportsNeutralInvesting.comNov 13, 20:00 UTCvia Finviz
- Analyst raises Apple stock target to $425 on iPhone Duo hopesPositiveThe Apple PostNov 13, 19:49 UTCvia Google News search
- Ackman on Huang's Exit, Anthropic IPO RoadshowBill Ackman, Pershing Square founder and CEO, says it's sad to see Jensen Huang leave Nvidia and he'll go on to do something great. Ackman also says he was impressed with the presentation given by Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei at the company's IPO roadshow event in New York. He speaks to Bloomberg's Isabelle Lee.NeutralYahooNov 13, 19:45 UTCvia Finnhub
- JardogsHealth Forms Strategic Advisory Council with Leaders from Discover Card, MTV, DoorDash and AppleJardogsHealth, the AI operating layer for healthcare, today announced the formation of the JardogsHealth Strategic Advisory Council, four executives who reached the top of financial services, media, startups and technology. The council will advise JardogsHealth leadership on long-term strategy, growth, product direction and brand as the company brings the JardogsHealth Care Platform to more healthcare organizations. Its members bring candid, independent perspective from building and leading compNeutralYahooNov 13, 19:29 UTCvia Finnhub
- Why Nvidia’s leadership shift could reshape its competitive edgeKelly Intelligence Founder, CEO, and CCO Kevin Kelly and his panel of experts weigh in on how Nvidia's (NVDA) leadership change will affect the company. Today's panel consists of Yahoo Finance Julie Hyman, Wall Street Veteran and "The Buy Side" Author Turney Duff, Argent Capital Management Portfolio Manager Jed Ellerbroek, and Cleo Capital Managing Director Sarah Kunst,NeutralYahooNov 13, 19:01 UTCvia Finnhub
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How it works
Where the numbers come from
Data
Every weekday after the US close a scheduled job pulls about two years of daily prices (Yahoo Finance, with Stooq as backup), each company's latest SEC filings, and the week's headlines from a Google News search, Yahoo Finance's feed and Finviz's news table.
Fair value
A ten-year discounted cash flow on free cash flow (9% discount rate, 2.5% terminal growth), Graham's growth formula on trailing earnings, and the Graham number as a conservative floor, blended 60 / 30 / 10. Growth comes from the last five years of revenue, capped at 20%.
Forecast
A ridge regression on the last year of daily returns, momentum, distance from the 20-day average and RSI predicts the next session's move, nudged slightly by headline mood. Later sessions fade back to the long-run drift. The shaded range is where 80% of outcomes would land if returns behaved like the recent volatility says.
Track record
Each day's next-session forecast is saved and scored against the close that follows, so the page keeps an honest record of how often the model gets the direction right. Expect roughly a coin flip: markets are hard to predict, and that is the point of showing it.
Not financial advice. Fair values and forecasts are the output of simple statistical models run on public data; they are often wrong and should not be the basis for any investment decision. Prices may be delayed.